Liu becomes youngest U.S. Junior champion

Golf Betting Lines

07/24/2010 - Ada, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jim Liu earned a 4 & 2 victory over Justin Thomas on Saturday to become the youngest winner in the history of the U.S. Junior Amateur Championship.

Liu rallied from an early deficit and never trailed after the seventh hole of their scheduled 36-hole match play final.

The 14-year-old from Smithtown, N.Y., beat Tiger Woods' record to become the youngest winner in championship history.

Woods, who won three straight U.S. Juniors from 1991-93, set the previous mark at 15 years, six months and 28 days when he captured his first championship. Liu doesn't turn 15 until the middle of August.

Liu wrapped up the victory on No. 16 at Egypt Valley Country Club when Thomas, 17, conceded his competitor's three-foot par putt after missing a five-footer of his own.

Despite the match ending on the 34th hole, it was actually the smallest winning margin for a U.S. Junior final since 2006.

Things got started 30 minutes late because of a steady morning rain. Once the players got going Thomas took an early 2-up lead with a winning par at No. 1 and a winning birdie at No. 3.

Liu battled back, however, and built a 3-up lead after the first 18 holes.

Fighting to square the match by the eighth hole, Liu took his first lead with a birdie at the 10th, then extended the advantage to 3-up with back-to-back birdies at the 12th and 13th.

Thomas won the 14th with a birdie, but Liu restored his 3-up advantage with a birdie at the 16th and carried it into the midway break.

Thomas climbed all they way back to 1-down by making birdies at Nos. 2 and 4 after the match resumed. But he fell 2-down after losing No. 6 with a bogey.

Liu moved 3-up with a par at the 11th, but Thomas cut that lead to one with back-to-back birdies at the 12th and 13th holes.

The momentum didn't last, however, as Liu came back with a winning par at the 14th. He was conceded a 15-foot birdie putt at the 15th when Thomas could only manage a bogey, then closed the match out at the next hole.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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